News / Analysis

Finance Update – A Presidential Rebate

Americas – Trump buoys markets

US markets closed up as the nation’s leader Donald J Trump returned to the White House yesterday – the Nasdaq leading at 2.32%.

The dollar index lost 40 cents after yesterday’s Composite PMI lost a tick and despite ISM’s report of a 1-point increase in its services PMI.

Europe – Data boosts Euro

European markets shared in US optimism yesterday to the tune of a 1% rise +/- 0.1, with yesterday’s Sentix investor confidence index showing a better-than-expected decline to -8.3 in October.

The Euro added 60 pips towards the end of the London session after European service PMIs all exceeded expectations – breaking into expansionary territory in Germany before this morning’s factory orders reported a huge MoM surge to 4.5% for August.

Asia – Aussie maintains interest

Asian markets this morning mutedly continued the presidential wave, led by the Tadawul’s 0.98%, but sobered by the Shanghai Composite (-0.2%) and the Shenzhen closing flat.

Australia maintained its 0.25% interest rate decision overnight, following a 40% drop in its trade surplus to $2.643 bn.

Commodities – Storms & strikes burn oil

WTI crude rejoiced as the leader of the free world returned to business, jumping $2.60 before tapering out during the Asian session. Adding some tailwind, Reuters reports Caribbean oil fields being evacuated as the 25th named storm this year develops in the Mexican Gulf.

And topping it off, pay strike are expanding over Norwegian oil fields in the North Sea, pushing up the Brent-WTI spread with the former rising $3 over the same period.

Corporate – Cisco fined 2 bn.

A US judge has instructed Cisco (+0.78%)to pay $1.9 bn damages to Centripetal Networks for patent infringements. Shares lost 0.2% after hours. And Exxon (+2.3%) announced yesterday it was cutting 1600 jobs dues to COVID-related losses.

Best Buy and Woolworths today pay dividends, and it’s ex-dividends date for Comcast – paying on October 28th.

Events

08:30 AM GMT UK Markit Construction PMI
12:30 PM GMT US Trade Balance. Redbook at 12:55. Jolts Jobs at 14:00 and Powell speech at 14:40
12:30 PM GMT Canada Imports/Exports
08:30 PM GMT OIL API Crude oil Inventories
ND NZ Global Dairy Trade Price Index
09:30 PM GMT Australia Services Performance Index. Budget Release at an undisclosed time
11:50 PM GMT Japan Foreign Reserves. Leading index at 5 AM (+1)
06:00 AM GMT (+1) Germany Industrial Production

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